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中期调整得到确认

2017-11-25 10:56:51| 分类：技术分析 | 标签： |举报 |字号大中小订阅

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日线分析

周四，沪指带量跌破M36，周五无量反弹，收出插入线形态的K线组合，下周一很难收复M36。这样，沪指跌破M36达到3天，属于有效跌破，中期调整确立。预计反弹的阻力位在3388点一带，之后再次向下寻找中期底部。

自3450点调整以来，沪指运行了9个交易日。

波浪分析

首选浪认为，沪指现在正运行B---a浪，目标位3389点。

周线分析

本周收出一根墓碑线，见顶意味明显。结合上周的母子线，阶段性的顶部特征已经显现。形态的底部3332点本周起到了支撑作用，但是，跟进止损3359点已经被跌破，发出了止损的信号。下周若不能够有效收复3359点，行情的中级调整将得到确认。

成交量处于持续萎缩的过程中，资金流势也持续下行，投资热情持续低迷。

沪指已经进入中期调整的概率大幅度地提高，所以，下周的反弹应该采取减仓策略。3332点和3295点构成形态的支撑。

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